The animated sequel “Moana 2,” affectionately dubbed “Hau‘oli lākou” (which translates to “good luck”), continues to astound audiences and critics alike as it gears up for a remarkable second weekend at the box office. Projections indicate that it may rake in around $60 million, setting a remarkable precedent for films in the post-Thanksgiving timeframe. This anticipated haul is not just impressive; it stands as a record-breaking figure for any title ranked No. 1 during this typically sluggish period. Reflecting on previous years, one cannot help but notice that the reigning champion in this slot was “Frozen 2,” which earned $35.1 million during its third weekend after an eventual -59% drop.
It’s crucial to grasp the significance of this achievement. The post-Thanksgiving weekend is notorious for being a challenge for the box office, usually marked by decreased foot traffic as potential moviegoers become preoccupied with holiday festivities. Historically, the second outing of films released during this period sees substantial declines. For instance, the original “Moana” film experienced a -50% drop, generating $28.2 million in its second weekend. This backdrop makes “Moana 2’s” performance even more impressive, showing resilience in a notoriously difficult period.
As “Moana 2” prepares to capture audience attention, several other films are vying for share. Take, for example, Universal’s “Wicked,” which is anticipating around $32 million in its third weekend—an expected decline of -60%. Furthermore, Paramount’s “Gladiator II” is also in the fray, looking at a respectable $15.5 million, which is projected to drop by -50%.
Against this competitive backdrop, “Moana 2” is not merely surviving but is actively reshaping expectations regarding box office performance during December. With its cumulative earnings crossing the significant $239.3 million mark just seven days into its release, it is likely to outpace the previous December record holder. Last year also witnessed a notable release, as “Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé” opened to $21.8 million before faltering dramatically in its second weekend. Still, its trajectory pales in comparison to what “Moana 2” seems set to accomplish.
While established titles continue to reign, newcomer “Pushpa 2 – The Rule” by Prathyangira Cinemas is generating substantial buzz as it gears up for release at over 1,200 theaters. Advance ticket sales are reportedly strong, and early forecasts suggest that it could open with figures significantly higher than its predecessor, “Pushpa – The Rise,” which started with only $1.3 million. Directed by Sukumar, this sequel delves into the intense conflict between the mafia kingpin Pushpa Raj and a nefarious police officer, building up anticipation among fans of the franchise.
More genre fare is on the horizon, too. A24’s “Y2K,” directed by Kyle Mooney, is positioned to portray both horror and comedy elements set against the backdrop of New Year’s Eve in 1999, where two teenagers’ plans spiral out of control as midnight approaches. This film is targeted at audiences who gravitate towards unique narratives that blend humor with a hint of spookiness. Despite the mixed critiquing sitting at 59% on Rotten Tomatoes, it creates a compelling opportunity for those seeking alternative viewing options during this competitive window.
As the box office landscape continues to shift with “Moana 2” asserting its dominance, the upcoming weekend forecasts a riveting competition among existing and new releases. The performance of “Moana 2” sets a new standard, challenging expectations for what animated films can achieve in a post-Thanksgiving terrain rife with distractions. With promising titles like “Pushpa 2” entering the fray, alongside unique offerings such as “Y2K,” audiences have a rich selection of viewing options, ensuring interest in theaters remains strong throughout the festive season. The dynamics at play promise to reshape the box office narrative as each film vies for audience attention and revenue, signaling an exciting time for movie lovers.